RAPE2026 Who’s Gonna Rape My Bags?

Methodology

Every vote counted here comes from official House and Senate roll-call records.

The score

For each scored roll call, a candidate's Yea or Nay is marked bag-friendly or bag-hostile. Each roll call has a weight. Bags Risk is the weighted share of their counted votes that were bag-hostile, from 0 to 100.

Bags Risk = 100 × hostile weight ÷ (hostile weight + friendly weight)

Weights

Why most "yes" votes count as bag-friendly

Almost every crypto measure that got a recorded floor vote since 2021 was one the crypto industry wanted. Measures the industry opposed mostly never reached a recorded vote. So for most scored votes, Yea is the bag-friendly vote. The Gensler confirmation is the main exception: a yes vote there counts as bag-hostile.

Direction, weight and reasoning for every roll call are on the bills page.

Breaking with party

Most of these bills split along party lines, so scores largely follow party. For every scored roll call we find how most Democrats and most Republicans voted, straight from the official record. A party break is a Yea or Nay against their own party's majority. Independents are compared with the Democrats they caucus with. Breaks are marked on the vote tape and counted in the "Broke w/ party" column.

Rug-pull guard

Some votes on crypto legislation were about protecting holders, like capping how much a project can raise without registering, or barring officials from profiting from crypto. Bags Risk doesn't capture that, so those votes are tracked separately as the rug-pull guard. A guard vote never changes Bags Risk. With only 2 recorded votes so far, they're shown vote by vote, not as a score. Most crypto bills reached the floor with no amendment votes allowed, which is why there are so few. If more come up, this becomes its own score.

Guard votes are listed on the bills page with the reasoning for each.

Tiers

ScoreTier
80–100Full Liquidation
60–79Margin Call
40–59Capitulation
20–39Correction
0–19Mild Drawdown
No On-Chain History

Who's included

"Running in 2026" starts from FEC filings. The FEC doesn't track retirements or primary results, so sitting members' retirements and primary losses come from Wikipedia's 2026 House and Senate election pages, each linked to the news report it cites. Challengers' primary results aren't checked yet. If we've missed something, tell us.

What this doesn't measure

Most scored bills split along party lines, so scores track party closely. See Breaking with party.

Sources

This phrase means financial loss; it does not mean sexual assault.